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i'll add something new to this...
i don't know exactly what all those numbers really mean, and i really don't care much to understand them, but what i can let you know what's going on around here, since Peru is the first place to be hit by el niño.
So far this winter (your summer)hasn't been cold at all, i'm still wearing shorts and a t-shirt, i haven't worn a jacket, maybe a hood, we've been having sunny days for about 2 weeks, and the water temp is really nice, we've had like 3 consecutive swells in a row, and the water gets pretty cold on swells, but this time the water is so nice that i see people wearing spring suits and even some just wearing trunks, and there are also quite a number of jellyfish(i think they only come with warmer water temps) me and my guests here are suntanned, it hasn't sprinkled in a while (it never really rains here), and i've also seen a few otters (that's not normal around here).....
i don't know for sure if we're gonna have el niño next year, and i don't know what it's like right now up in the north where it starts, but i know that this past surfing season for northern peru wasn't that good....
one thing for sure is that weather is not normal around here and neither is the water temp.....

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And then there are news reports that say opposite of you:

Full story here.

Children die in harsh Peru winter
By Dan Collyns
BBC News, Lima



Children in the remote southern highlands are often malnourished
Almost 250 children under the age of five have died in a wave of intensely cold weather in Peru.

Children die from pneumonia and other respiratory infections every year during the winter months particularly in Peru's southern Andes.

But this year freezing temperatures arrived almost three months earlier than usual.

Experts blame climate change for the early arrival of intense cold which began in March.

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